SEVERE WEATHER BULLETIN #4
FOR: TROPICAL DEPRESSION "#TonyoPH"
TROPICAL CYCLONE: WARNING
ISSUED AT 8:00 AM, 08 November 2020
(Valid for broadcast until the next bulletin to be issued at 11 AM today)
THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION "TONYO" CONTINUES TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OVER TAYABAS BAY TOWARDS THE SOUTHERN QUEZON-BATANGAS AREA.
Track and Intensity Outlook
The center of Tropical Depression “TONYO” made landfall over Torrijos, Marinduque at 4:30 AM today. It is forecast to move westnorthwestward and make landfall in the vicinity of Sariaya, Quezon or San Juan, Batangas within the coming hour. On the forecast track,
"TONYO" will emerge over the West Philippine Sea this morning or afternoon and exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) tomorrow morning.
Hazards affecting land areas
Heavy rainfall: Today, “TONYO” will bring light to moderate with at times heavy rains over Ilocos Region, Cordillera Administrative Region, Cagayan Valley, Central Luzon, Metro Manila. CALABARZON, Mindoro Provinces, and Palawan including Calamian and Kalayaan Islands. PAGASA Regional Services Divisions may issue local thunderstorm/rainfall advisories and heavy rainfall warnings while the Hydrometeorology Division and River Basin Flood Forecasting and Warning Centers may issue General Flood Advisories and Basin Flood Bulletins as appropriate.
Strong winds:
Areas under Tropical Cyclone Wind Signal #1 is currently experiencing or will be experiencing strong breeze to near gale conditions with occasional gusts throughout the passage of “TONYO”. The Northeast Monsoon will also bring strong breeze to near gale conditions over Batanes, Babuyan Islands, Ilocos Norte, Apayao, and the northern portion of mainland Cagayan.
Hazards affecting coastal waters
Moderate to rough seas (1.5 to 3.5 m) due to “TONYO” and the prevailing easterlies will be experienced over the seaboards of areas under TCWS #1 and the eastern seaboards of Cagayan Valley, Aurora, and the northern portion of Quezon, and the northern and eastern seaboards of Catanduanes. Mariners of small seacrafts are advised to take precautionary measures when venturing out to sea. Inexperienced mariners should avoid navigating in these conditions.
The Northeast Monsoon will bring rough to very rough seas (2.5 to 4.5 m) over the seaboards of Batanes, Ilocos Norte, and Ilocos Sur and the northern seaboard of Cagayan including Babuyan Islands. Sea travel is risky over these waters, especially for mariners of small seacrafts.
Location of eye/center At 7:00 AM today, the center of Tropical Depression "TONYO" was estimated based on all available data at 70 km Southwest of Alabat, Quezon or 40 km South Southwest of Tayabas, Quezon (13.7°N, 121.5°E).
Strength Maximum sustained winds of 45 km/h near the center and gustiness of up to 60 km/h.
Movement Moving West Northwestward at 25 km/h.
Forecast Positions
• 24 Hour (Tomorrow morning): 475 km West Northwest of Coron, Palawan (12.8°N, 115.9°E)
• 48 Hour (Tuesday morning):1,125 km West of Southern Luzon (OUTSIDE PAR) (12.7°N, 109.9°E)
TCWS #1
(30-60 km/h winds prevailing or expected in 36 hours)
Camarines Norte, the western portion of Camarines Sur
(Cabusao, Libmanan, Sipocot, Lupi, Ragay, Del Gallego,
Pamplona, Pasacao), Quezon including Polillo Islands, Cavite,
Laguna, Rizal, Batangas, Metro Manila, Bataan, Bulacan,
Pampanga, the southern portion of Nueva Ecija (General
Tinio, Santa Rosa, Zaragoza, Gabaldon, Laur, Palayan City,
Cabanatuan City, Aliaga, Quezon, Licab, Peñaranda, Gapan City,
San Leonardo, Jaen, San Isidro, Cabiao, San Antonio), the
southern portion of Tarlac (Victoria, Pura, Gerona, Santa Ignacia,
Mayantoc, La Paz, Concepcion, Tarlac City, San Jose, Bamban,
Capas), the southern portion of Aurora (Dingalan), the central
and southern portions of Zambales (Masinloc, Palauig, Iba,
Botolan, Cabangan, San Felipe, San Narciso, San Marcelino, San
Antonio, Castillejos, Subic, Olongapo City), Marinduque, the
northern portion of Romblon (Romblon, San Andres, Calatrava,
San Agustin, Corcuera, Banton, Concepcion), the northern and
central portions of Oriental Mindoro (Bongabong, Gloria,
Pinamalayan, Socorro, Pola, Naujan, Victoria, Calapan City,
Baco, San Teodoro, Puerto Galera), and the northern and
central portions of Occidental Mindoro (Sablayan, Santa Cruz,
Mamburao, Paluan, Abra de Ilog) including Lubang Island
• Very light or no damage to low risk structures,
• Light damage to medium to high risk structures
• Slight damage to some houses of very light materials or makeshift structures in exposed communities. Some banana plants are tilted, a few downed and leaves are generally damaged
• Twigs of small trees may be broken.
• Rice crops, however, may suffer significant damage when it is in its flowering stage.
TCWS #1 in other areas is hereby lifted.
The public and the disaster risk reduction and management council concerned are advised to take appropriate actions and watch for the next Severe Weather Bulletin to be issued at 11 AM today
#GTVP
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