SEVERE WEATHER BULLETIN #2
FOR: TROPICAL DEPRESSION "#UlyssesPH"
TROPICAL CYCLONE: ALERT
ISSUED AT 11:00 AM, 09 November 2020
(Valid for broadcast until the next bulletin to be issued at 11 PM today)
"ULYSSES" ACCELERATES AND SLIGHTLY INTENSIFIES WHILE MOVING NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE PHILIPPINE SEA.
Track and Intensity Outlook:
• On the forecast track, Tropical Depression “ULYSSES” will move generally northwestward today through tomorrow morning. Afterwards, it is forecast to turn westward and head towards the Bicol Region-Quezon area. A landfall over Bicol Region- Quezon area on Wednesday is likely at this time.
• “ULYSSES” is forecast to further intensify and is likely to reach Tropical Storm category within 24 hours. It may reach Typhoon category on Wednesday prior to landfall.
Hazards affecting land areas:
• “ULYSSES” is currently not directly causing severe weather over any portion of the country at this time. It is likely that the winds and rainfall associated with this tropical cyclone will begin affecting portions of Eastern Visayas and Bicol Region beginning on Tuesday or Wednesday. Based on available data, Tropical Cyclone Wind Signal #1 may be raised over some localities in Bicol Region or Eastern Visayas as early as tonight or tomorrow early morning in anticipation of the onset of strong breeze to near gale conditions associated with “ULYSSES”.
• Meanwhile, the Tail-End of a Cold Front will bring moderate to heavy rains with at times intense rains over Cagayan including Babuyan Islands, Isabela, and Aurora. Flooding and rain-induced landslides may occur in highly to very highly susceptible areas during heavy or prolonged rainfall. Residents in these areas are advised to take precautionary measures, coordinate with local disaster risk reduction and management offices, and continue monitoring for updates, especially the local rainfall or thunderstorm advisories and heavy rainfall warnings from PAGASA Regional Services Divisions (PRSD).
Hazards affecting coastal waters:
• In the next 24 hours, the combined effects of the circulation of “ULYSSES” and the prevailing easterlies will bring moderate to rough seas (1.5 to 2.5 m) over the eastern seaboards of the country. Mariners of small seacrafts are advised to take precautionary measures when venturing out to sea. Inexperienced mariners should avoid navigating in these conditions.
Location of eye/center At 10:00 AM today, the center of Tropical Depression "ULYSSES" was estimated based on all available data at 635 km East Northeast of Surigao City, Surigao del Norte or 605 km East of Borongan City, Eastern Samar(11.6°N, 131.0°E).
Strength Maximum sustained winds of 55 km/h near the center and gustiness of up to 70 km/h.
Movement Moving Northwestward at 40 km/h.
Forecast Positions
• 24 Hour (Tomorrow morning): 475 km East of Virac, Catanduanes (13.8°N, 128.6°E)
• 48 Hour (Wednesday morning):330 km East of Daet, Camarines Norte (14.2°N, 126.0°E)
• 72 Hour (Thursday morning): In the vicinity of Calamba, Laguna (14.2°N, 121.2°E)
• 96 Hour (Friday morning):420 km West of Subic, Zambales (14.5°N, 116.4°E)
• 120 Hour (Saturday morning):875 km Central Luzon (OUTSIDE PAR) (14.5°N, 112.2°E)
NO TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNAL
The public and the disaster risk reduction and management council concerned are advised to take appropriate actions and watch for the next update to be incorporated in the 4 PM Public Weather Forecast and in the next Severe Weather Bulletin to be issued at 11 PM today.
#GTVP
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