SEVERE WEATHER BULLETIN #21
FOR: TYPHOON "#UlyssesPH" (VAMCO)
TROPICAL CYCLONE: WARNING
ISSUED AT 11:00 AM, 12 November 2020
(Valid for broadcast until the next bulletin to be issued at 2 PM today)
TYPHOON "ULYSSES" MAINTAINS ITS STRENGTH AND IS NOW OVER THE WEST PHILIPPINE SEA EAST OF ZAMBALES.
Hazards affecting land areas:
• Strong winds: Destructive typhoon-force winds will be experiencing in areas under Tropical Cyclone Wind Signal (TCWS) #3, damaging gale- to storm-force winds in areas under TCWS #2, and strong breeze to near gale conditions in areas under TCWS #1. The surge of the Northeast Monsoon will bring strong breeze to gale-force winds over the rest of Northern Luzon.
• Heavy rainfall: Until this afternoon, heavy to intense with at times torrential rains over Zambales, Bataan, Pampanga, and Tarlac. Moderate to heavy with at times intense rains over Cordillera Administrative Region, mainland Cagayan Valley, Babuyan Islands, CALABARZON, Metro Manila, Mindoro Provinces, Marinduque, and the rest of Central Luzon Light to moderate with at times heavy rains over Visayas and rest of Luzon.
• Between this afternoon and tonight, moderate to heavy rains over Cordillera Administrative Region, the eastern portions of Cagayan and Isabela, Zambales, Bataan, Aurora, Metro Manila, Cavite, the western portion of Batangas, and the northern portion of Occidental Mindoro including Lubang Island. Light to moderate with at times heavy rains over Western Visayas and the rest of Luzon.
• Flooding (including flashfloods), rain-induced landslides, and sediment-laden streamflows (i.e. lahar) may occur during heavy or prolonged rainfall especially in areas that are highly or very highly susceptible to these hazards and/or those that received significant antecedent rainfall. PAGASA Regional Services Divisions may issue local thunderstorm/rainfall advisories and heavy rainfall warnings while the Hydrometeorology Division and River Basin Flood Forecasting and Warning Centers may issue General Flood Advisories and Basin Flood Bulletins as appropriate.
• Storm surge: A Storm Surge Warning is in effect. There is a high risk of storm surge with heights of up to 3.0 m over the coastal areas of Aurora, northern Quezon including Polillo Islands, Cavite, Metro Manila, Bulacan, Pampanga, Bataan, and Zambales, and up to 2.0 m over the coastal areas of Isabela, La Union, Pangasinan, Batangas, the rest of Quezon, Marinduque, and the northern portion of Mindoro Provinces including Lubang Island. These storm surges, which may be accompanied by swells and/or breaking waves near the coast, can cause life-threatening and damaging coastal inundation. Moreover, there is also a moderate risk of seiche or storm surge over the coastal areas surrounding Laguna de Bay.
Hazards affecting coastal waters:
• Within the next 24 hours, the combined effects of Typhoon “ULYSSES” and the surge of the Northeast Monsoon will bring rough to very high seas (2.5 to 10.0 m) over the seaboards of areas under TCWS and the northern seaboard of Northern Samar, rough to high seas (3.0 to 6.0 m) over the remaining seaboards of Northern Luzon, and rough to very rough seas (2.5 to 4.5 m) over the western seaboard of Palawan including Calamian and Kalayaan Islands and the seaboards of Romblon and Bicol Region not under TCWS. Sea travel is risky for all types of vessels over these waters.
• Moderate to rough seas (1.5 to 2.5 m) will be experienced over the eastern seaboards of Visayas and Mindanao, the seaboards of Cuyo Islands, and the western seaboard of Panay Island. Mariners of small seacrafts are advised to take precautionary measures when venturing out to sea. Inexperienced mariners should avoid navigating in these conditions
Track and intensity outlook:
• The center of “ULYSSES” emerged over the western seaboard of Zambales at 8:00 AM today. Slight intensification is likely as the typhoon moves over the West Philippine Sea away from the landmass. On the forecast track, the typhoon may exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility tomorrow morning.
Location of eye/center: At 10:00 AM today, the center of the eye of Typhoon "ULYSSES" was located based on all available data including Subic and Benguet Doppler Radar at 85 km West of Iba, Zambales(15.4°N, 119.2°E).
Strength: Maximum sustained winds of 130 km/h near the center and gustiness of up to 200 km/h.
Movement: Moving Westward at 25 km/h.
Forecast Positions
• 24 Hour (Tomorrow morning): 490 km West of Iba, Zambales (15.2°N, 115.4°E)
• 48 Hour (Saturday morning):930 km West of Central Luzon (OUTSIDE PAR) (15.4°N, 111.3°E)
TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNAL
TCWS #3 (121-170 km/h winds prevailing or expected in 18 hours)
The western portion of Pangasinan (Bayambang, Bautista, Alcala, Santo Tomas, Malasiqui, Santa Barbara, Mangaldan, Dagupan City, Basista, San Carlos City, Calasiao, Binmaley, Urbiztondo, Mangatarem, Aguilar, Bugallon, Lingayen, Labrador, Infanta, Mabini, Sual, Dasol, Burgos, Alaminos City, Agno, Bani, Bolinao, Anda), Zambales, Bataan, Tarlac, and Pampanga
TCWS #3 in other areas is now lowered.
TCWS #2 (61-120 km/h winds prevailing or expected in 24 hours)
The central and southern portions of Isabela (Mallig, Quirino, Ilagan, Roxas, Burgos, Gamu, Palanan, San Mariano, Dinapigue, San Guillermo, Benito Soliven, Naguilian, Reina Mercedes, Luna, San Manuel, Aurora, Cabatuan, Cauayan City, San Mateo, Alicia, Angadanan, Echague, Jones, San Agustin, San Isidro, Ramon, Santiago City, Cordon), Quirino, Nueva Vizcaya, Mountain Province, Ifugao, Benguet, the southern portion of Ilocos Sur (Cervantes, Quirino, San Emilio, Lidlidda, Santiago, Banayoyo, Candon City, Galimuyod, Gregorio Del Pilar, Salcedo, Santa Lucia, Santa Cruz, Sigay, Suyo, Tagudin, Alilem, Sugpon), La Union, the rest of Pangasinan, Aurora, Nueva Ecija, Bulacan, Metro Manila, Cavite, Rizal, Laguna, Batangas, the northern and western portions of Quezon (Mauban, Pagbilao, Tayabas City, Lucena City, Sariaya, Candelaria, San Antonio, Tiaong, Dolores, Lucban, Sampaloc, Real, Infanta, General Nakar) including Polillo Islands, the northwestern portion of Oriental Mindoro (Puerto Galera, San Teodoro), and the northwestern portion of Occidental Mindoro (Paluan, Abra de Ilog) including Lubang Island
TCWS #2 in other areas is now lowered.
TCWS #1 (30-60 km/h winds prevailing or expected in 36 hours)
The rest of Isabela, Kalinga, Abra, the rest of Ilocos Sur, the rest of northern portion Oriental Mindoro (Baco, Calapan City, Naujan, Victoria, Pola), the rest of northern portion of Occidental Mindoro (Mamburao, Santa Cruz), and the central portion of Quezon (Gumaca, Macalelon, Pitogo, Unisan, Agdangan, Plaridel, Atimonan, Padre Burgos, Quezon, Alabat, Perez)
TCWS #1 in other areas is now lifted.
The public and the disaster risk reduction and management council concerned are advised to take appropriate actions and watch for the next Severe Weather Bulletin to be issued at 2 PM today.
#GTVP
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