SEVERE WEATHER BULLETIN #3A
FOR: TROPICAL STORM "#UlyssesPH" (VAMCO)
TROPICAL CYCLONE: ALERT
ISSUED AT 5:00 PM, 09 November 2020
(Valid for broadcast until the next bulletin to be issued at 11 PM today)
"ULYSSES" INTENSIFIES INTO A TROPICAL STORM.
Track and Intensity Outlook:
• Track: On the forecast track, Tropical Storm “ULYSSES” will move generally northwestward today through tomorrow afternoon. Afterwards, it is forecast to turn westward and head towards the Bicol Region-Quezon area. A landfall over Bicol Region- Quezon area on Thursday is likely at this time.
• Intensity: “ULYSSES” intensified into a Tropical Storm at 2:00 PM today. It is likely to reach Severe Tropical Storm category within 24 hours and may reach Typhoon category on Wednesday.
Hazards affecting land areas:
• Heavy Rains: Today through tomorrow morning, light to moderate with at times heavy rains may prevail over Eastern Visayas, Bicol Region, and Quezon due to the trough of “ULYSSES” while moderate to heavy rains will be experienced over Cagayan including Babuyan Islands, Apayao, and Ilocos Norte due to the Tail-End of a Cold Front. Flooding (including flashfloods), rain-induced landslides, and sediment-laden streamflows (i.e. lahar) may occur during heavy or prolonged rainfall especially in areas that are highly or very highly susceptible to these hazards and/or those that received significant antecedent rainfall from tropical cyclones. PAGASA Regional Services Divisions may issue local thunderstorm/rainfall advisories and heavy rainfall warnings while the Hydrometeorology Division and River Basin Flood Forecasting and Warning Centers may issue General Flood Advisories and Basin Flood Bulletins as appropriate.
• Strong Winds: Based on available data, Tropical Cyclone Wind Signal #1 may be raised over some localities in Bicol Region or Eastern Visayas as early as tonight or tomorrow early morning in anticipation of the onset of strong breeze to near gale conditions associated with “ULYSSES”.
Hazards affecting coastal waters:
• Rough to very rough seas (2.8 to 4.5 m) will prevail over the entire seaboards of Northern Luzon, eastern seaboard of Central Luzon, and the eastern and western seaboards of Southern Luzon. The complete list of seaboards where gale warning will be experienced is detailed in Gale Warning #4 issued at 5:00 PM today. Sea travel is risky over these areas.
• Moderate to rough seas (1.5 to 2.5 m) may prevail over the remaining seaboards of Luzon and the eastern seaboard of Mindanao. Mariners of small seacrafts are advised to take precautionary measures when venturing out to sea. Inexperienced mariners should avoid navigating in these conditions.
Location of eye/center:
• At 4:00 PM today, the center of Tropical Storm "ULYSSES" was estimated based on all available data at 575 km East of Borongan City, Eastern Samar (12.1°N, 130.7°E).
Strength:
• Maximum sustained winds of 65 km/h near the center and gustiness of up to 80 km/h.
Movement:
• Moving Northwestward at 15 km/h.
Forecast Positions:
• 24 Hour (Tomorrow afternoon): 555 km East of Daet, Camarines Norte (14.2°N, 128.1°E)
• 48 Hour (Wednesday afternoon):320 km East of Infanta, Quezon (14.4°N, 124.6°E)
• 72 Hour (Thursday afternoon): 130 km West of Pasay City, Metro Manila (14.5°N, 119.8°E)
• 96 Hour (Friday afternoon):660 km West of Pasay City, Metro Manila (OUTSIDE PAR) (14.5°N, 114.9°E)
• 120 Hour (Saturday afternoon):1,010 km West of Southern Luzon (OUTSIDE PAR) (14.6°N, 110.9°E)
NO TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNAL
The public and the disaster risk reduction and management council concerned are advised to take appropriate actions and watch for the next Severe Weather Bulletin to be issued at 11 PM today.
LINK: http://bagong.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/tropical-cyclone/severe-weather-bulletin/2
#GTVP
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