Wednesday, November 11, 2020

SEVERE WEATHER BULLETIN #22FOR: TYPHOON "#UlyssesPH" (VAMCO)TROPICAL CYCLONE: WARNING

SEVERE WEATHER BULLETIN #22
FOR: TYPHOON "#UlyssesPH" (VAMCO)
TROPICAL CYCLONE: WARNING
ISSUED AT 2:00 PM, 12 November 2020
(Valid for broadcast until the next bulletin to be issued at 5 PM today)
TYPHOON "#UlyssesPH" ACCELERATES WHILE MOVING WESTWARD OVER THE PHILIPPINE SEA.

Hazards affecting land areas:
• Strong winds: Damaging gale- to storm-force winds may prevail in areas under TCWS #2 and strong breeze to near gale conditions in areas under TCWS #1. The surge of the Northeast Monsoon will bring strong breeze to gale-force winds over the rest of Northern Luzon.
• Heavy rainfall: Until tonight, moderate to heavy rains over Cordillera Administrative Region, the eastern portions of Cagayan and Isabela, Zambales, Bataan, Aurora, Cavite, the western portion of Batangas, and Occidental Mindoro including Lubang Island. Light to moderate with at times heavy rains over Western Visayas, Samar Provinces, Metro Manila, and the rest of Luzon. Flooding (including flashfloods), rain-induced landslides, and sediment-laden streamflows (i.e. lahar) may occur during heavy or prolonged rainfall especially in areas that are highly or very highly susceptible to these hazards and/or those that received significant antecedent rainfall. PAGASA Regional Services Divisions may issue local thunderstorm/rainfall advisories and heavy rainfall warnings while the Hydrometeorology Division and River Basin Flood Forecasting and Warning Centers may issue General Flood Advisories and Basin Flood Bulletins as appropriate.
• Storm surge: A Storm Surge Warning is in effect. There is a minimal to moderate risk of storm surge of up to 1.0 m over the coastal areas of Pangasinan, Zambales, Bataan, Pampanga, Bulacan, and Metro Manila.

Hazards affecting coastal waters:
• Within the next 24 hours, the combined effects of Typhoon “ULYSSES” and the surge of the Northeast Monsoon will bring rough to very high seas (2.5 to 10.0 m) over the seaboards of areas under TCWS and the northern seaboard of Northern Samar, rough to high seas (3.0 to 6.0 m) over the remaining seaboards of Northern Luzon, and rough to very rough seas (2.5 to 4.5 m) over the western seaboard of Palawan including Calamian and Kalayaan Islands and the seaboards of Romblon and Bicol Region not under TCWS. Sea travel is risky for all types of vessels over these waters.
• Moderate to rough seas (1.5 to 2.5 m) will be experienced over the eastern seaboards of Visayas and Mindanao, the seaboards of Cuyo Islands, and the western seaboard of Panay Island. Mariners of small seacrafts are advised to take precautionary measures when venturing out to sea. Inexperienced mariners should avoid navigating in these conditions

Track and intensity outlook:
• Slight intensification is likely as the typhoon moves over the West Philippine Sea away from the landmass. On the forecast track, "ULYSSES" may exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility tomorrow morning.

Location of eye/center: At 1:00 PM today, center of the eye of Typhoon "ULYSSES" was located based on all available data at 140 km West of Iba, Zambales (15.2°N, 118.7°E).
Strength: Maximum sustained winds of 130 km/h near the center and gustiness of up to 160 km/h.
Movement: Moving Westward at 35 km/h.

Forecast Positions:
• 24 Hour (Tomorrow morning): 610 km West of Iba, Zambales (OUTSIDE PAR) (15.4°N, 114.3°E)
• 48 Hour (Saturday morning):1,030 km West of Central Luzon (OUTSIDE PAR) (15.6°N, 110.4°E)

TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNAL
TCWS#2 (61-120 km/h winds prevailing or expected in 24 hours)
Luzon:
The western portion of Pangasinan (Bayambang, Bautista, Alcala, Santo Tomas, Malasiqui, Santa Barbara, Mangaldan, Dagupan City, Basista, San Carlos City, Calasiao, Binmaley, Urbiztondo, Mangatarem, Aguilar, Bugallon, Lingayen, Labrador, Infanta, Mabini, Sual, Dasol, Burgos, Alaminos City, Agno, Bani, Bolinao, Anda), Zambales, Bataan, Tarlac, Pampanga, the southwestern portion of Bulacan (Baliuag, Bustos, San Jose del Monte City, Santa Maria, Marilao, Pandi, Meycauayan City, Bocaue, Balagtas, Plaridel, Obando, Bulacan, Guiguinto, Malolos City, Pulilan, Calumpit, Paombong, Hagonoy), Metro Manila, Cavite, the southwestern portion of Batangas (Talisay, San Nicolas, Laurel, Agoncillo, Taal, Santa Teresita, San Luis, Bauan, Mabini, Alitagtag, Lemery, Calaca, Balayan, Tuy, Nasugbu, Lian, Calatagan, Tingloy), and the northwestern portion of Occidental Mindoro (Paluan, Abra de Ilog) including Lubang Island

Impacts of the wind:
• Light to Moderate damage to high risk structures; 
• Very light to light damage to medium-risk structures;
• No damage to very light damage to low risk structures
• Unshielded, old dilapidated schoolhouses, makeshift shanties, and other structures of light materials are partially damaged or unroofed.
• A number of nipa and cogon houses may be partially or totally unroofed.
• Some old galvanized iron (G.I.) roofs may be peeled or blown off.
• Some wooden, old electric posts are tilted or downed.
• Some damage to poorly constructed signs/billboards
• In general, the winds may bring light to moderate damage to the exposed communities. Most banana plants, a few mango trees, ipil-ipil and similar types of trees are downed or broken.
• Some coconut trees may be tilted with few others broken.
• Rice and corn may be adversely affected.
• Considerable damage to shrubbery and trees with some heavy-foliaged trees blown down.

TCWS #3 in other areas is now lowered while TCWS #2 in other areas is now lowered or lifted.

TCWS#1 (30-60 km/h winds prevailing or expected in 36 hours)
Luzon:
The southern portion of Ilocos Sur (Magsingal, Santo Domingo, San Ildefonso, San Vicente, Bantay, Santa Catalina, Vigan City, Caoayan, Santa, Narvacan, Nagbukel, Santa Maria, Burgos, San Esteban, San Emilio, Quirino, Cervantes, Alilem, Sugpon, Suyo, Sigay, Gregorio Del Pilar, Salcedo, Santa Cruz, Tagudin, Santa Lucia, Galimuyod, Candon City, Banayoyo, Santiago, Lidlidda), La Union, the rest of Pangasinan, the southwestern portion of Abra (Tubo, Luba, Villaviciosa, Pilar, Manabo, San Isidro, Bangued, Pidigan, Langiden, San Quintin), the western portion of Mountain Province (Bontoc, Sadanga, Sagada, Sabangan, Bauko, Tadian, Besao), the western portion of Ifugao (Lagawe, Banaue, Hingyon, Hungduan, Tinoc, Asipulo, Lamut, Kiangan), Benguet, Nueva Vizcaya, the southern portion of Aurora (Maria Aurora, Baler, San Luis, Dingalan), Nueva Ecija, the rest of Bulacan, the northern and western portions of Quezon (Lucena City, Pagbilao, Sariaya, Candelaria, Tiaong, San Antonio, Dolores, Tayabas City, Lucban, Mauban, Sampaloc, Real, General Nakar, Infanta), Rizal, Laguna, the rest of Batangas, the northwestern portion of Oriental Mindoro (Puerto Galera, San Teodoro, Baco, Calapan City, Naujan) , and the rest of northern portion of Occidental Mindoro (Santa Cruz, Mamburao)

Impacts of the wind:
• Very light or no damage to low risk structures, 
• Light damage to medium to high risk structures
• Slight damage to some houses of very light materials or makeshift structures in exposed communities. Some banana plants are tilted, a few downed and leaves are generally damaged
• Twigs of small trees may be broken.
• Rice crops, however, may suffer significant damage when it is in its flowering stage.

TCWS #1 in other areas is now lifted.

The public and the disaster risk reduction and management council concerned are advised to take appropriate actions and watch for the next Severe Weather Bulletin to be issued at 5 PM today.

Link: bagong.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/tropical-cyclone/severe-weather-bulletin/2

@ PAGASA-DOST

#GTVP

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